BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 120 Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (3-4) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =   98.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Home    W   100.92  26  20    2  87 (  5-  5) Tuskegee                0.77      5.23                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L   116.05   9  63   1A  23 (  7-  5) Auburn                 15.91 *  -69.91                      
  3 09/15/2018 Away    L   102.10  13  62   1B   9 ( 11-  2) Kennesaw St             1.96 *  -50.96                      
  4 09/22/2018 Away    L *  84.54   0  34   1B  95 (  6-  5) Grambling St          -15.61    -18.39                      
  5 10/06/2018 Away    W * 132.39  28  25   1B  59 (  9-  4) Alcorn St              32.25    -29.25                      
  6 10/13/2018 Away    L    95.94   7  45   1A 125 (  3-  9) South Alabama          -4.20 *  -33.80                      
  7 10/27/2018 Neutral L * 100.95  10  27   1B  82 (  6-  5) Alabama A&M             0.81    -17.81                      
  8 11/03/2018 Home    W * 109.68  30  21   1B 118 (  2-  9) Texas Southern          9.54     -0.54                      
  9 11/10/2018 Home    L *  88.45   2  20   1B 103 (  5-  5) Jackson St            -11.69     -6.31                      
 10 11/17/2018 Away    L *  72.53  13  66   1B  71 (  5-  6) Prairie View A&M      -27.62    -25.38                      
 11 11/22/2018 Home    W *  98.00  31  24   1B 125 (  1- 10) Mississippi Valley S   -2.14      9.14                      
      Averages             100.14  15.4 37.0

Best game:  132.39 = 3 point win over Alcorn St
Worst game:  72.53 = 53 point loss to Prairie View A&M
Team stdev:  15.98